Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 14.375328 16.329972 18.575711 21.375339 24.812815 28.950887 34.395996
2025-03-09 11.958905 14.390081 17.432613 21.615000 27.375596 35.294806 47.524387
2025-03-16 10.239158 12.754121 16.071128 20.926428 28.155106 39.090575 58.225813
2025-03-23 9.227133 11.816150 15.379785 20.878825 29.642113 44.116726 72.753923
2025-03-30 8.221121 10.731901 14.292993 20.000937 29.568649 46.485093 83.513428
2025-04-06 7.368770 9.760775 13.232385 18.964829 28.970855 47.688604 92.434945
2025-04-13 6.718316 9.013989 12.414280 18.180894 28.627407 49.237257 102.995368
2025-04-20 6.786521 9.326578 13.236407 20.218139 33.835569 63.840190 158.971629
2025-04-27 6.557932 9.159449 13.270369 20.880606 36.537778 74.061234 214.143962
2025-05-04 6.094107 8.584509 12.575045 20.107297 36.066335 76.190083 241.717588
2025-05-11 5.911738 8.441508 12.586684 20.661839 38.626565 87.665079 331.070834
2025-05-18 5.607062 8.076445 12.181391 20.345102 39.108799 93.333272 402.846819
2025-05-25 5.331817 7.755453 11.850465 20.189098 40.096748 101.713349 524.113888
2025-06-01 5.132939 7.548474 11.705432 20.402027 42.106544 115.129972 757.581274
2025-06-08 4.838748 7.159529 11.194803 19.767335 41.718477 119.355081 926.276280
2025-06-15 4.647912 6.935155 10.969001 19.723423 42.969087 131.407088 1338.846290
2025-06-22 4.378305 6.558377 10.428735 18.913015 41.834386 132.213541 1564.670364
2025-06-29 4.111152 6.172952 9.848260 17.955049 40.093603 129.381250 1694.189054
2025-07-06 3.890496 5.859274 9.386848 17.229127 38.941446 129.106622 1943.356309
2025-07-13 3.981499 6.100587 10.011418 19.113629 46.472741 183.156215 9351.143780
2025-07-20 3.924518 6.071316 10.099680 19.725066 50.101740 220.984808 49249.476422
2025-07-27 3.739841 5.799235 9.679399 19.011261 48.825363 221.839613 92672.951278
2025-08-03 3.684143 5.761881 9.735343 19.523223 52.260648 266.614496 NaN